What comes next? response times are affected by mispredictions in a stochastic game

Paulo Roberto Cabral-PassosAntonio GalvesJesus Enrique Garciaand Claudia Domingues Vargas

Paulo Roberto Cabral-PassosAntonio GalvesJesus Enrique Garciaand Claudia Domingues Vargas

Sep 2023

0被引用

0笔记

开学季活动火爆进行中，iPad、蓝牙耳机、拍立得、键盘鼠标套装等你来拿

摘要原文

Acting as a goalkeeper in a video-game, a participant is asked to predict the successive choices of the penalty taker. The sequence of choices of the penalty taker is generated by a stochastic chain with memory of variable length. It has been conjectured that the probability distribution of the response times is a function of the specific sequence of past choices governing the algorithm used by the penalty taker to make his choice at each step. We found empirical evidence that besides this dependence, the distribution of the response times depends also on the success or failure of the previous prediction made by the participant. Moreover, we found statistical evidence that this dependence propagates up to two steps forward after the prediction failure.